Connor McDavid vs Rickard Rakell
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.8% vs Rakell 44.9% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 65.4%
Defensive zone
McDavid 82.9%
Neutral zone
McDavid 63.7%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 72.2%
72.2%
27.8%
McDavid
Rakell
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McDavid
Rakell
Last 7: McDavid 5-2 Rakell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Rakell
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Rakell
1
2
McDavid
Rakell
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McDavid
3
0
McDavid
Rakell
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Rakell
Edge
Even Strength
47.7% (8,358)
44.4% (1,864)
+3.3%
Power Play
52.0% (371)
50.3% (197)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.4% (279)
21.7% (23)
+21.7%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rakell shoots right. McDavid is 47.9% vs right-shot opponents (3,105).
McDavid shoots left. Rakell is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,334).
Home / Away
McDavid
Rakell
Home
49.3% (4,570)
46.7% (1,041)
Away
46.1% (4,438)
42.7% (1,044)
By Period
McDavid
Rakell
P1
46.5%
45.6%
P2
48.7%
42.1%
P3
48.3%
46.4%
OT
40.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.1%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
47.7%
Rakell
40.0%▲
37.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 02:26 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 3 | 11:11 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 2 | 11:28 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |
| Mar 28, 2016 | 1 | 09:16 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 3 | 01:53 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 26, 2016 | 1 | 00:58 | Neutral | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 16, 2016 | 2 | 06:10 | Defensive | Rickard Rakell |