Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 51.0% vs Johansen 52.8% (-2.0%)
Offensive zone
McDavid 63.3%
Defensive zone
Johansen 56.1%
Neutral zone
McDavid 51.3%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
McDavid
Johansen
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (803)
51.9% (597)
-0.3%
Power Play
50.0% (40)
57.9% (133)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (22)
54.3% (81)
-17.9%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +17.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. McDavid is 49.8% vs right-shot opponents (249).
McDavid shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
McDavid
Johansen
Home
51.8% (415)
55.8% (387)
Away
50.4% (450)
50.7% (424)
By Period
McDavid
Johansen
P1
47.5%
50.0%
P2
51.6%
56.2%
P3
55.5%
52.6%
OT
50.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
50.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
51.1%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%