Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McDavid wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 42.2% vs Rask 54.3% (-13.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 76.1%
Defensive zone
McDavid 78.3%
Neutral zone
McDavid 80.6%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 77.9%
77.9%
22.1%
McDavid
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McDavid
Rask
Last 5: McDavid 1-4 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rask
1
2
McDavid
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
0
2
McDavid
Rask
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
41.4% (855)
54.5% (628)
-13.1%
Power Play
47.8% (23)
58.0% (88)
-10.2%
On even strength, Rask has a +13.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. McDavid is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (574).
McDavid shoots left. Rask is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Home / Away
McDavid
Rask
Home
42.8% (451)
58.0% (355)
Away
40.0% (458)
51.8% (361)
By Period
McDavid
Rask
P1
38.0%
54.5%
P2
44.9%
56.3%
P3
41.7%
54.2%
OT
20.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
41.4%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 06:44 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Victor Rask |