Scouting Report
Victor Rask holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Rask on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 47.7% vs Rask 50.1% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Rask leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
McDavid 50.8%
Defensive zone
McDavid 59.6%
Neutral zone
McDavid 50.9%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
McDavid
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
7
(12 meetings)
5
7
McDavid
Rask
Last 10: McDavid 4-6 Rask
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
McDavid
Rask
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
2
1
McDavid
Rask
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Rask
0
3
McDavid
Rask
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
47.6% (8,248)
50.0% (4,428)
-2.4%
Power Play
52.8% (362)
54.3% (363)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (274)
35.2% (54)
+9.0%
On penalty kill, McDavid has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,803).
McDavid shoots left. Rask is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,102).
Home / Away
McDavid
Rask
Home
49.3% (4,495)
52.0% (2,380)
Away
46.1% (4,389)
48.3% (2,465)
By Period
McDavid
Rask
P1
46.4%
50.7%
P2
48.7%
48.9%
P3
48.3%
50.7%
OT
40.9%
52.1%
Final 5 min
50.1%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
54.0%▲
45.5%
47.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |
| Dec 12, 2019 | 2 | 18:34 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Feb 7, 2019 | 1 | 02:15 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 1 | 14:54 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 10:36 | Neutral | Victor Rask |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 08:58 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 3 | 06:44 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 2 | 12:05 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 15:45 | Defensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 09:31 | Offensive | Connor McDavid |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 2 | 06:55 | Offensive | Victor Rask |
| Oct 18, 2016 | 1 | 17:33 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |