Scouting Report
Connor McDavid holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. McDavid wins 54.3% vs left-shot opponents — Rask shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McDavid 53.4% vs Rask 50.4% (+3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McDavid 52.0%
Defensive zone
McDavid 59.5%
Neutral zone
McDavid 63.2%
Result
Connor McDavid favored at 59.5%
59.5%
40.5%
McDavid
Rask
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McDavid
Rask
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
1
0
McDavid
Rask
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McDavid
Rask
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (1,002)
50.6% (172)
+3.7%
Power Play
44.8% (29)
50.0% (4)
-5.2%
On power play, Rask has a +5.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rask shoots left. McDavid is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (679).
McDavid shoots left. Rask is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
McDavid
Rask
Home
53.6% (507)
53.7% (82)
Away
53.8% (539)
47.9% (94)
By Period
McDavid
Rask
P1
52.6%
56.0%
P2
54.1%
47.5%
P3
54.9%
49.3%
Final 5 min
52.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McDavid
50.0%▬
50.0%
53.7%
Rask
60.0%▲
49.5%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 12:32 | Defensive | Connor McDavid |