Connor McMichael vs Elias Pettersson
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pettersson on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Pettersson 47.2% (-4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 84.1%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 55.7%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 67.3%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 67.1%
32.9%
67.1%
McMichael
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
McMichael
Pettersson
Last 7: McMichael 5-2 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
0
McMichael
Pettersson
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
2
McMichael
Pettersson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
0
McMichael
Pettersson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
45.9% (790)
-3.5%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
55.4% (242)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
35.5% (107)
+5.1%
On power play, Pettersson has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
McMichael shoots left. Pettersson is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (730).
Home / Away
McMichael
Pettersson
Home
43.0% (298)
49.3% (584)
Away
42.5% (252)
44.5% (555)
By Period
McMichael
Pettersson
P1
46.5%
45.8%
P2
41.1%
47.9%
P3
41.3%
47.1%
Final 5 min
44.0%
45.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
47.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |