Connor McMichael vs Elias Pettersson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). McMichael wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Pettersson 46.0% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
McMichael leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Pettersson 82.0%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 58.5%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 64.9%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
McMichael
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
McMichael
Pettersson
Last 10: McMichael 7-3 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
5
1
McMichael
Pettersson
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
1
4
McMichael
Pettersson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
4
0
McMichael
Pettersson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
45.3% (4,569)
-2.2%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
54.6% (540)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
38.7% (238)
-0.4%
On power play, Pettersson has a +8.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. McMichael is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
McMichael shoots left. Pettersson is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,591).
Home / Away
McMichael
Pettersson
Home
42.6% (976)
46.8% (2,734)
Away
43.3% (904)
45.1% (2,613)
By Period
McMichael
Pettersson
P1
43.3%
44.7%
P2
43.2%
46.0%
P3
41.9%
47.4%
OT
75.0%
39.7%
Final 5 min
42.8%
46.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2026 | 3 | 16:37 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 21, 2026 | 1 | 17:33 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 3 | 00:51 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 05:09 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Oct 19, 2025 | 1 | 00:29 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |