Connor McMichael vs Elias Pettersson

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Elias Pettersson holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McMichael 43.2% vs Pettersson 50.7% (-8.4%)
H2H factor Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Pettersson 80.4%
Defensive zone Pettersson 73.7%
Neutral zone Pettersson 73.4%
Result Elias Pettersson favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
McMichael Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
5 - 3 (8 meetings)
5
3
McMichael Pettersson
Last 8: McMichael 5-3 Pettersson

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
1
McMichael Pettersson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
2
McMichael Pettersson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
0
McMichael Pettersson
2 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
McMichael
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
50.4% (698)
-7.0%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
63.2% (57)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
40.9% (44)
-10.1%
On power play, Pettersson has a +22.5% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
McMichael shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
McMichael
Pettersson
Home
42.1% (444)
50.7% (420)
Away
42.8% (428)
50.9% (379)
By Period
McMichael
Pettersson
P1
42.5%
48.0%
P2
41.9%
47.6%
P3
42.5%
57.5%
OT
100.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
51.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%
45.0%
42.4%
Pettersson
50.0%
50.5%
50.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Mar 16, 2024 2 14:55 Offensive Connor McMichael
Mar 16, 2024 2 08:32 Defensive Elias Pettersson
Mar 16, 2024 2 07:29 Offensive Connor McMichael
Mar 16, 2024 1 19:41 Offensive Connor McMichael
Feb 11, 2024 2 19:21 Offensive Elias Pettersson
Feb 11, 2024 2 11:19 Neutral Connor McMichael
Feb 11, 2024 2 11:12 Neutral Connor McMichael
Feb 11, 2024 2 08:12 Defensive Elias Pettersson