Connor McMichael vs Elias Pettersson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Elias Pettersson holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Pettersson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Pettersson 50.7% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pettersson 80.4%
Defensive zone
Pettersson 73.7%
Neutral zone
Pettersson 73.4%
Result
Elias Pettersson favored at 77.0%
23.0%
77.0%
McMichael
Pettersson
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
McMichael
Pettersson
Last 8: McMichael 5-3 Pettersson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
1
McMichael
Pettersson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pettersson
0
2
McMichael
Pettersson
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
0
McMichael
Pettersson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Pettersson
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
50.4% (698)
-7.0%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
63.2% (57)
-22.5%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
40.9% (44)
-10.1%
On power play, Pettersson has a +22.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pettersson shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
McMichael shoots left. Pettersson is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (544).
Home / Away
McMichael
Pettersson
Home
42.1% (444)
50.7% (420)
Away
42.8% (428)
50.9% (379)
By Period
McMichael
Pettersson
P1
42.5%
48.0%
P2
41.9%
47.6%
P3
42.5%
57.5%
OT
100.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Pettersson
50.0%▬
50.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 08:32 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:29 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 19:41 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 2 | 19:21 | Offensive | Elias Pettersson |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 2 | 11:12 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 11, 2024 | 2 | 08:12 | Defensive | Elias Pettersson |