Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +12.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Haula on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McMichael wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Haula 54.3% (-12.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 75.1%
Defensive zone
McMichael 67.9%
Neutral zone
McMichael 73.7%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
McMichael
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
McMichael
Haula
Last 7: McMichael 2-5 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
McMichael
Haula
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
McMichael
Haula
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
2
3
McMichael
Haula
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
57.6% (684)
-14.2%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
46.0% (63)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
45.5% (145)
-14.7%
On penalty kill, Haula has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
McMichael shoots left. Haula is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
McMichael
Haula
Home
42.1% (444)
56.3% (449)
Away
42.8% (428)
53.3% (443)
By Period
McMichael
Haula
P1
42.5%
58.4%
P2
41.9%
54.9%
P3
42.5%
52.0%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 17:39 | Defensive | Erik Haula |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 12:27 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 10:12 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 3 | 00:55 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 20, 2024 | 2 | 14:23 | Neutral | Erik Haula |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 3 | 00:14 | Offensive | Erik Haula |
| Nov 10, 2023 | 1 | 10:37 | Neutral | Erik Haula |