Scouting Report
Erik Haula holds a +7.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Haula 50.1% (-7.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 88.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 79.8%
Neutral zone
Haula 86.6%
Result
Erik Haula favored at 87.9%
12.1%
87.9%
McMichael
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
McMichael
Haula
Last 5: McMichael 4-1 Haula
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
1
McMichael
Haula
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Haula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
50.0% (704)
-7.6%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
55.4% (74)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
44.1% (59)
-3.5%
On even strength, Haula has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
McMichael shoots left. Haula is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (530).
Home / Away
McMichael
Haula
Home
43.0% (298)
48.6% (426)
Away
42.5% (252)
51.6% (411)
By Period
McMichael
Haula
P1
46.5%
52.2%
P2
41.1%
51.5%
P3
41.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
44.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | 3 | 09:03 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 2 | 10:11 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 14:57 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 11, 2026 | 1 | 11:36 | Offensive | Erik Haula |