Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 43.6% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 48.3% vs Compher 45.6% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 54.8%
Defensive zone
Compher 67.0%
Neutral zone
Compher 55.5%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 56.1%
43.9%
56.1%
McMichael
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
McMichael
Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Compher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
McMichael
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (71)
45.8% (847)
-2.1%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
40.8% (49)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
41.9% (117)
+11.0%
On power play, McMichael has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. McMichael is 43.6% vs right-shot opponents (39).
McMichael shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Home / Away
McMichael
Compher
Home
42.6% (54)
45.1% (519)
Away
50.9% (55)
45.1% (494)
By Period
McMichael
Compher
P1
42.9%
45.8%
P2
40.5%
46.2%
P3
57.1%
43.2%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
46.8%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2025 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2025 | 2 | 18:07 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |