Connor McMichael vs Jake Guentzel
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.8% vs 46.1%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 48.3% vs Guentzel 46.9% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Guentzel 67.1%
Defensive zone
McMichael 63.3%
Neutral zone
Guentzel 54.9%
Result
Jake Guentzel favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
McMichael
Guentzel
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Guentzel
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (71)
46.1% (256)
-2.4%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
47.5% (122)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
16.7% (6)
+36.2%
On penalty kill, McMichael has a +36.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Guentzel shoots left. McMichael is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (70).
McMichael shoots left. Guentzel is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (248).
Home / Away
McMichael
Guentzel
Home
42.6% (54)
49.3% (201)
Away
50.9% (55)
42.6% (183)
By Period
McMichael
Guentzel
P1
42.9%
49.6%
P2
40.5%
45.6%
P3
57.1%
41.6%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
55.2%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
46.8%
Guentzel
44.0%▬
43.5%
46.1%