Scouting Report
Joe Pavelski holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 41.8% vs right-shot opponents — Pavelski shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.5% vs Pavelski 52.2% (-9.6%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 50.7%
Defensive zone
McMichael 56.9%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 59.5%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
McMichael
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (339)
52.5% (570)
-9.4%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
54.5% (145)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
44.4% (36)
-44.4%
On penalty kill, Pavelski has a +44.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. McMichael is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (122).
McMichael shoots left. Pavelski is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (588).
Home / Away
McMichael
Pavelski
Home
42.7% (178)
55.0% (391)
Away
43.1% (167)
49.7% (360)
By Period
McMichael
Pavelski
P1
40.7%
50.8%
P2
50.0%
55.0%
P3
36.9%
52.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
52.5%