Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +13.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 50.5% vs Pavelski 53.0% (+13.3%)
Offensive zone
Pavelski 55.3%
Defensive zone
Pavelski 61.2%
Neutral zone
Pavelski 56.3%
Result
Joe Pavelski favored at 57.6%
42.4%
57.6%
McMichael
Pavelski
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Pavelski
Edge
Even Strength
66.7% (3)
52.3% (560)
+14.4%
On even strength, McMichael has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pavelski shoots right. McMichael is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (3).
McMichael shoots left. Pavelski is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (513).
Home / Away
McMichael
Pavelski
Home
100.0% (1)
54.2% (360)
Away
50.0% (2)
52.6% (329)
By Period
McMichael
Pavelski
P1
100.0%
54.5%
P2
100.0%
56.7%
P3
0.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
66.7%
Pavelski
62.0%▲
52.0%
53.4%