Connor McMichael vs Jonathan Toews
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +16.1% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.5% vs Toews 58.4% (-16.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 63.9%
Defensive zone
Toews 53.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 50.7%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
McMichael
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McMichael
Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
McMichael
Toews
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
McMichael
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (339)
58.0% (901)
-14.9%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
69.5% (226)
-19.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
51.7% (209)
-51.7%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +51.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. McMichael is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McMichael shoots left. Toews is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
McMichael
Toews
Home
42.7% (178)
59.3% (637)
Away
43.1% (167)
58.7% (699)
By Period
McMichael
Toews
P1
40.7%
61.5%
P2
50.0%
55.2%
P3
36.9%
60.0%
Final 5 min
43.8%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
59.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2021 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |