Connor McMichael vs Jonathan Toews
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +15.0% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Toews shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Toews 57.9% (-15.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 63.9%
Defensive zone
McMichael 52.8%
Neutral zone
Toews 52.3%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
McMichael
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
McMichael
Toews
Last 8: McMichael 4-4 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
McMichael
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
4
0
McMichael
Toews
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Toews
0
1
McMichael
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
57.2% (13,047)
-14.1%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
63.3% (3,252)
-17.3%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
53.6% (1,810)
-15.3%
On power play, Toews has a +17.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. McMichael is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
McMichael shoots left. Toews is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (11,653).
Home / Away
McMichael
Toews
Home
42.6% (976)
59.7% (9,192)
Away
43.3% (904)
56.1% (8,948)
By Period
McMichael
Toews
P1
43.3%
58.6%
P2
43.2%
57.8%
P3
41.9%
57.3%
OT
75.0%
58.9%
Final 5 min
42.8%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
57.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 06:51 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 11:22 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 2 | 09:09 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Nov 26, 2025 | 1 | 06:57 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 15, 2021 | 3 | 10:48 | Neutral | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 17:52 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 2, 2021 | 2 | 03:00 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |