Connor McMichael vs Kevin Stenlund
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McMichael wins 38.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Stenlund 54.0% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 92.9%
Defensive zone
McMichael 77.4%
Neutral zone
McMichael 83.4%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 86.2%
86.2%
13.8%
McMichael
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
McMichael
Stenlund
Last 8: McMichael 1-7 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
1
2
McMichael
Stenlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
1
McMichael
Stenlund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
4
McMichael
Stenlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
55.3% (2,703)
-12.2%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
52.6% (116)
-6.6%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
50.6% (919)
-12.3%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. McMichael is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (628).
McMichael shoots left. Stenlund is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,807).
Home / Away
McMichael
Stenlund
Home
42.6% (976)
54.3% (1,848)
Away
43.3% (904)
53.9% (1,890)
By Period
McMichael
Stenlund
P1
43.3%
56.4%
P2
43.2%
53.3%
P3
41.9%
52.8%
OT
75.0%
52.9%
Final 5 min
42.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2025 | OT | 02:09 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Feb 9, 2025 | 2 | 03:55 | Defensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 1 | 09:54 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 12, 2021 | 2 | 12:10 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |