Connor McMichael vs Kevin Stenlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stenlund on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Stenlund 51.2% (-9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 85.8%
Defensive zone
McMichael 64.3%
Neutral zone
McMichael 74.5%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 79.0%
79.0%
21.0%
McMichael
Stenlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McMichael
Stenlund
Last 5: McMichael 1-4 Stenlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael
Stenlund
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stenlund
0
3
McMichael
Stenlund
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
54.4% (592)
-11.0%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
42.9% (14)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
44.1% (229)
-13.3%
On penalty kill, Stenlund has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. McMichael is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (281).
McMichael shoots left. Stenlund is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (644).
Home / Away
McMichael
Stenlund
Home
42.1% (444)
50.7% (402)
Away
42.8% (428)
52.0% (433)
By Period
McMichael
Stenlund
P1
42.5%
56.5%
P2
41.9%
52.4%
P3
42.5%
45.2%
OT
100.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 3 | 10:46 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 06:48 | Offensive | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 2 | 02:07 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |
| Nov 8, 2023 | 1 | 09:54 | Neutral | Kevin Stenlund |