Connor McMichael vs Kevin Stenlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Kevin Stenlund holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stenlund shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Stenlund 54.3% (-12.0%)
Offensive zone
McMichael 70.0%
Defensive zone
Stenlund 69.4%
Neutral zone
McMichael 52.0%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
McMichael
Stenlund
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Stenlund
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
56.1% (615)
-13.7%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
53.2% (47)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
52.1% (307)
-11.5%
On even strength, Stenlund has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stenlund shoots right. McMichael is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (183).
McMichael shoots left. Stenlund is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
McMichael
Stenlund
Home
43.0% (298)
57.0% (458)
Away
42.5% (252)
52.6% (511)
By Period
McMichael
Stenlund
P1
46.5%
55.1%
P2
41.1%
53.3%
P3
41.3%
56.4%
Final 5 min
44.0%
57.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Stenlund
52.0%▼
59.0%
54.7%