Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 48.3% vs Carlsson 42.4% (+5.4%)
Offensive zone
Carlsson 52.0%
Defensive zone
Carlsson 61.6%
Neutral zone
Carlsson 56.7%
Result
Leo Carlsson favored at 56.8%
43.2%
56.8%
McMichael
Carlsson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Carlsson
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (71)
41.8% (648)
+1.9%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
37.3% (51)
+15.1%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
38.7% (31)
+14.2%
On power play, McMichael has a +15.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carlsson shoots left. McMichael is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (70).
McMichael shoots left. Carlsson is 41.3% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Home / Away
McMichael
Carlsson
Home
42.6% (54)
44.5% (362)
Away
50.9% (55)
38.3% (368)
By Period
McMichael
Carlsson
P1
42.9%
46.3%
P2
40.5%
35.1%
P3
57.1%
43.9%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.2%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
46.8%
Carlsson
38.0%▼
39.5%
41.4%