Connor McMichael vs Mikael Backlund
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Backlund 49.7% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 73.6%
Defensive zone
Backlund 61.8%
Neutral zone
McMichael 55.1%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 61.8%
38.2%
61.8%
McMichael
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McMichael
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
1
McMichael
Backlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
50.1% (891)
-7.7%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
53.1% (64)
-4.0%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
47.8% (278)
-7.2%
On even strength, Backlund has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
McMichael shoots left. Backlund is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (871).
Home / Away
McMichael
Backlund
Home
43.0% (298)
48.1% (580)
Away
42.5% (252)
51.1% (653)
By Period
McMichael
Backlund
P1
46.5%
45.1%
P2
41.1%
54.7%
P3
41.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2026 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |