Connor McMichael vs Mikael Backlund
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 48.3% vs Backlund 48.5% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 75.3%
Defensive zone
Backlund 74.0%
Neutral zone
McMichael 54.6%
Result
Mikael Backlund favored at 74.0%
26.0%
74.0%
McMichael
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
McMichael
Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
2
McMichael
Backlund
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.7% (71)
50.4% (1,032)
-6.7%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
52.3% (107)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (17)
40.6% (313)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, McMichael has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McMichael is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (70).
McMichael shoots left. Backlund is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,014).
Home / Away
McMichael
Backlund
Home
42.6% (54)
48.7% (749)
Away
50.9% (55)
48.1% (703)
By Period
McMichael
Backlund
P1
42.9%
50.4%
P2
40.5%
50.1%
P3
57.1%
45.8%
OT
50.0%
30.8%
Final 5 min
55.2%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
46.8%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 10:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Feb 25, 2025 | 2 | 02:28 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |