Connor McMichael vs Mikael Backlund
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Mikael Backlund holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Backlund on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). McMichael wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Backlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Backlund 50.3% (-7.9%)
H2H factor
Backlund leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 78.8%
Defensive zone
Backlund 53.5%
Neutral zone
McMichael 62.2%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
McMichael
Backlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
McMichael
Backlund
Last 10: McMichael 3-7 Backlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
0
McMichael
Backlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Backlund
0
6
McMichael
Backlund
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McMichael
Backlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Backlund
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
51.0% (1,205)
-7.6%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
59.3% (108)
-18.6%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
42.3% (234)
-11.5%
On power play, Backlund has a +18.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backlund shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
McMichael shoots left. Backlund is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,012).
Home / Away
McMichael
Backlund
Home
42.1% (444)
51.2% (782)
Away
42.8% (428)
49.4% (765)
By Period
McMichael
Backlund
P1
42.5%
51.5%
P2
41.9%
49.8%
P3
42.5%
49.9%
OT
100.0%
37.5%
Final 5 min
39.7%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Backlund
52.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:42 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 02:37 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 16:15 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:48 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 19:08 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 03:06 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 02:55 | Neutral | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 02:49 | Defensive | Mikael Backlund |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 02:47 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 18, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |