Scouting Report
Nick Bonino holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Bonino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.5% vs Bonino 51.2% (-8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 55.9%
Defensive zone
Bonino 86.3%
Neutral zone
Bonino 83.0%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 77.9%
22.1%
77.9%
McMichael
Bonino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
McMichael
Bonino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bonino
0
1
McMichael
Bonino
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
0
McMichael
Bonino
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Bonino
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Bonino
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (339)
51.7% (777)
-8.6%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
60.0% (50)
-10.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
43.9% (98)
-43.9%
On penalty kill, Bonino has a +43.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bonino shoots left. McMichael is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McMichael shoots left. Bonino is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (629).
Home / Away
McMichael
Bonino
Home
42.7% (178)
48.2% (461)
Away
43.1% (167)
54.5% (464)
By Period
McMichael
Bonino
P1
40.7%
54.1%
P2
50.0%
49.7%
P3
36.9%
50.7%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2021 | 3 | 16:08 | Offensive | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 2 | 12:20 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 03:05 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 20, 2021 | 1 | 02:59 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |