Connor McMichael vs Nick Schmaltz
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.9% vs 42.3%). Look for McMichael on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 38.4% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Schmaltz 42.5% (+0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 68.7%
Defensive zone
McMichael 53.4%
Neutral zone
McMichael 50.0%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
McMichael
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McMichael
Schmaltz
Last 6: McMichael 3-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
McMichael
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
41.2% (3,399)
+1.9%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
47.1% (649)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
47.8% (134)
-9.5%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. McMichael is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (628).
McMichael shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,015).
Home / Away
McMichael
Schmaltz
Home
42.6% (976)
42.7% (2,089)
Away
43.3% (904)
41.9% (2,093)
By Period
McMichael
Schmaltz
P1
43.3%
41.1%
P2
43.2%
42.9%
P3
41.9%
43.0%
OT
75.0%
42.4%
Final 5 min
42.8%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |