Connor McMichael vs Nick Schmaltz
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor McMichael holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Schmaltz 42.8% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 56.5%
Defensive zone
McMichael 56.7%
Neutral zone
McMichael 52.8%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
McMichael
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
McMichael
Schmaltz
Last 6: McMichael 3-3 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael
Schmaltz
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael
Schmaltz
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
0
1
McMichael
Schmaltz
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
38.5% (309)
+4.9%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
53.2% (79)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
25.0% (12)
+5.8%
On power play, Schmaltz has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. McMichael is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (281).
McMichael shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (309).
Home / Away
McMichael
Schmaltz
Home
42.1% (444)
38.0% (184)
Away
42.8% (428)
43.5% (216)
By Period
McMichael
Schmaltz
P1
42.5%
40.3%
P2
41.9%
39.9%
P3
42.5%
40.7%
OT
100.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
41.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 09:46 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 02:49 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 3 | 16:20 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 16:28 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 4, 2023 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Nick Schmaltz |