Connor McMichael vs Nick Schmaltz
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Nick Schmaltz holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Schmaltz shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Schmaltz 46.6% (-3.4%)
Offensive zone
Schmaltz 76.9%
Defensive zone
McMichael 70.3%
Neutral zone
Schmaltz 52.5%
Result
Nick Schmaltz favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
McMichael
Schmaltz
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
45.9% (665)
-3.5%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
46.8% (111)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
50.0% (24)
-9.4%
On penalty kill, Schmaltz has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. McMichael is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (183).
McMichael shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
McMichael
Schmaltz
Home
43.0% (298)
44.7% (409)
Away
42.5% (252)
47.6% (391)
By Period
McMichael
Schmaltz
P1
46.5%
40.3%
P2
41.1%
47.6%
P3
41.3%
51.0%
Final 5 min
44.0%
40.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Schmaltz
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.1%