Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). McMichael wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Suzuki 52.4% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Suzuki 95.2%
Defensive zone
Suzuki 87.3%
Neutral zone
Suzuki 91.2%
Result
Nick Suzuki favored at 93.5%
6.5%
93.5%
McMichael
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
McMichael
Suzuki
Last 7: McMichael 6-1 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
4
1
McMichael
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Suzuki
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Suzuki
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
51.3% (1,096)
-7.9%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
59.9% (157)
-19.2%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
56.9% (58)
-26.1%
On penalty kill, Suzuki has a +26.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. McMichael is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (281).
McMichael shoots left. Suzuki is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (961).
Home / Away
McMichael
Suzuki
Home
42.1% (444)
54.2% (638)
Away
42.8% (428)
51.0% (673)
By Period
McMichael
Suzuki
P1
42.5%
51.5%
P2
41.9%
53.3%
P3
42.5%
52.4%
OT
100.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
39.7%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 19:10 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 17, 2024 | 1 | 10:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 17:46 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 2 | 05:08 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Feb 6, 2024 | 1 | 14:58 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 21, 2023 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |