Scouting Report
Nick Suzuki holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Suzuki on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). McMichael wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Suzuki shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Suzuki 50.3% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Suzuki leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 86.0%
Defensive zone
McMichael 92.6%
Neutral zone
McMichael 87.3%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 88.8%
88.8%
11.2%
McMichael
Suzuki
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
14
(20 meetings)
6
14
McMichael
Suzuki
Last 10: McMichael 1-9 Suzuki
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
4
McMichael
Suzuki
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
4
3
McMichael
Suzuki
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suzuki
1
7
McMichael
Suzuki
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Suzuki
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
51.3% (904)
-8.9%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
49.8% (265)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
36.8% (57)
+3.8%
On even strength, Suzuki has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Suzuki shoots right. McMichael is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (183).
McMichael shoots left. Suzuki is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (921).
Home / Away
McMichael
Suzuki
Home
43.0% (298)
50.6% (603)
Away
42.5% (252)
50.1% (623)
By Period
McMichael
Suzuki
P1
46.5%
52.3%
P2
41.1%
47.5%
P3
41.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
44.0%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Suzuki
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 18:06 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 13:42 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 19:00 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 18:27 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 00:16 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 14:06 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Jan 13, 2026 | 1 | 09:37 | Defensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 10:01 | Offensive | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:36 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 02:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 14:28 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:22 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 09:03 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 05:01 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Suzuki |