Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 39.3% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Hartman 45.5% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 59.6%
Defensive zone
McMichael 68.4%
Neutral zone
McMichael 63.1%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
McMichael
Hartman
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
McMichael
Hartman
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
McMichael
Hartman
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hartman
0
1
McMichael
Hartman
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
44.8% (830)
-2.4%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
47.8% (92)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
37.5% (16)
+3.1%
On penalty kill, McMichael has a +3.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McMichael is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (183).
McMichael shoots left. Hartman is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (654).
Home / Away
McMichael
Hartman
Home
43.0% (298)
45.0% (515)
Away
42.5% (252)
44.9% (423)
By Period
McMichael
Hartman
P1
46.5%
46.5%
P2
41.1%
39.9%
P3
41.3%
48.6%
Final 5 min
44.0%
43.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2025 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Ryan Hartman |
| Oct 17, 2025 | 2 | 16:47 | Neutral | Ryan Hartman |