Scouting Report
Ryan Hartman holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 41.8% vs right-shot opponents — Hartman shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.5% vs Hartman 45.3% (-1.9%)
Offensive zone
McMichael 51.4%
Defensive zone
McMichael 55.3%
Neutral zone
Hartman 55.2%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 50.5%
50.5%
49.5%
McMichael
Hartman
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Hartman
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (339)
44.8% (936)
-1.7%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
49.4% (154)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
33.3% (54)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Hartman has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hartman shoots right. McMichael is 41.8% vs right-shot opponents (122).
McMichael shoots left. Hartman is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (800).
Home / Away
McMichael
Hartman
Home
42.7% (178)
47.4% (568)
Away
43.1% (167)
42.4% (576)
By Period
McMichael
Hartman
P1
40.7%
47.2%
P2
50.0%
43.4%
P3
36.9%
43.8%
Final 5 min
43.8%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Hartman
54.0%▲
52.0%
44.8%