Connor McMichael vs Ryan Johansen
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Johansen 52.8% (-10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 72.4%
Defensive zone
McMichael 77.5%
Neutral zone
McMichael 70.4%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 73.9%
73.9%
26.1%
McMichael
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
McMichael
Johansen
Last 6: McMichael 1-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
McMichael
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
McMichael
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
51.9% (597)
-8.5%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
57.9% (133)
-17.2%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
54.3% (81)
-23.5%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +23.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. McMichael is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (281).
McMichael shoots left. Johansen is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (584).
Home / Away
McMichael
Johansen
Home
42.1% (444)
55.8% (387)
Away
42.8% (428)
50.7% (424)
By Period
McMichael
Johansen
P1
42.5%
50.0%
P2
41.9%
56.2%
P3
42.5%
52.6%
OT
100.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |