Connor McMichael vs Ryan Johansen
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). McMichael wins 38.4% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Johansen 53.3% (-10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 78.1%
Defensive zone
McMichael 74.3%
Neutral zone
McMichael 77.2%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 75.8%
75.8%
24.2%
McMichael
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
McMichael
Johansen
Last 6: McMichael 1-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
2
McMichael
Johansen
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
0
3
McMichael
Johansen
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
53.1% (11,017)
-10.0%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
56.2% (2,163)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
50.5% (978)
-12.2%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +12.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. McMichael is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (628).
McMichael shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
McMichael
Johansen
Home
42.6% (976)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
43.3% (904)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
McMichael
Johansen
P1
43.3%
53.2%
P2
43.2%
53.9%
P3
41.9%
52.8%
OT
75.0%
58.2%
Final 5 min
42.8%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024 | 2 | 02:16 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 07:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 02:48 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 24, 2024 | 1 | 01:55 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |