Connor McMichael vs Ryan Poehling
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Poehling 47.4% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McMichael 73.0%
Defensive zone
Poehling 55.9%
Neutral zone
McMichael 51.4%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
McMichael
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McMichael
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
McMichael
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
49.8% (626)
-7.4%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
58.3% (12)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
38.2% (207)
+2.4%
On power play, Poehling has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
McMichael shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
McMichael
Poehling
Home
43.0% (298)
47.3% (404)
Away
42.5% (252)
46.9% (441)
By Period
McMichael
Poehling
P1
46.5%
53.5%
P2
41.1%
39.4%
P3
41.3%
49.1%
Final 5 min
44.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |