Connor McMichael vs Ryan Poehling
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). McMichael wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Poehling 48.1% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
McMichael leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 74.1%
Defensive zone
Poehling 94.6%
Neutral zone
Poehling 92.4%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 85.5%
14.5%
85.5%
McMichael
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
McMichael
Poehling
Last 10: McMichael 5-5 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
7
0
McMichael
Poehling
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
3
McMichael
Poehling
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
2
McMichael
Poehling
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
49.4% (2,726)
-6.3%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
51.6% (93)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
41.6% (623)
-3.3%
On even strength, Poehling has a +6.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. McMichael is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,252).
McMichael shoots left. Poehling is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,301).
Home / Away
McMichael
Poehling
Home
42.6% (976)
49.3% (1,688)
Away
43.3% (904)
46.9% (1,754)
By Period
McMichael
Poehling
P1
43.3%
50.9%
P2
43.2%
47.0%
P3
41.9%
46.9%
OT
75.0%
37.9%
Final 5 min
42.8%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 06:06 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 15:52 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 24, 2021 | 2 | 04:56 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |