Connor McMichael vs Ryan Poehling
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Poehling holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). McMichael wins 45.9% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Poehling 49.2% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
McMichael leads 9-4 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Poehling 77.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 93.0%
Neutral zone
Poehling 86.7%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 85.0%
15.0%
85.0%
McMichael
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
4
(13 meetings)
9
4
McMichael
Poehling
Last 10: McMichael 6-4 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
6
0
McMichael
Poehling
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
2
3
McMichael
Poehling
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
McMichael
Poehling
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
50.4% (752)
-7.0%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
37.0% (27)
+3.7%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
45.3% (159)
-14.5%
On penalty kill, Poehling has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. McMichael is 45.9% vs left-shot opponents (591).
McMichael shoots left. Poehling is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (655).
Home / Away
McMichael
Poehling
Home
42.1% (444)
51.2% (467)
Away
42.8% (428)
47.1% (471)
By Period
McMichael
Poehling
P1
42.5%
54.6%
P2
41.9%
46.7%
P3
42.5%
46.7%
OT
100.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
39.7%
47.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 13:59 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 3 | 09:34 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 11:11 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:45 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:36 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 18:31 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Mar 1, 2024 | 1 | 10:35 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 10:07 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 3 | 07:32 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 14, 2023 | 1 | 13:25 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |