Connor McMichael vs Tage Thompson
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.4% vs 43.3%). Look for McMichael on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). McMichael wins 35.2% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.2% vs Thompson 44.0% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
McMichael leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Thompson 50.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 60.0%
Neutral zone
Thompson 52.0%
Result
Tage Thompson favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
McMichael
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
McMichael
Thompson
Last 10: McMichael 5-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
2
1
McMichael
Thompson
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
McMichael
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
6
1
McMichael
Thompson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
43.4% (761)
44.6% (709)
-1.2%
Power Play
40.7% (59)
41.5% (53)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
30.8% (52)
35.1% (97)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Thompson has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. McMichael is 35.2% vs right-shot opponents (281).
McMichael shoots left. Thompson is 39.9% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
McMichael
Thompson
Home
42.1% (444)
45.5% (426)
Away
42.8% (428)
41.1% (433)
By Period
McMichael
Thompson
P1
42.5%
48.5%
P2
41.9%
43.8%
P3
42.5%
38.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
39.7%
37.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.4%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:36 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |