Connor McMichael vs Tage Thompson
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (42.9% vs 42.6%). Look for McMichael on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). McMichael wins 38.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thompson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.3% vs Thompson 42.8% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
McMichael leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
McMichael 53.6%
Defensive zone
McMichael 54.2%
Neutral zone
Thompson 51.5%
Result
Connor McMichael favored at 52.3%
52.3%
47.7%
McMichael
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
McMichael
Thompson
Last 10: McMichael 4-6 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
4
McMichael
Thompson
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
3
6
McMichael
Thompson
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McMichael
6
1
McMichael
Thompson
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (1,574)
42.9% (3,521)
+0.2%
Power Play
46.0% (139)
46.8% (372)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (167)
33.6% (265)
+4.7%
On penalty kill, McMichael has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots right. McMichael is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (628).
McMichael shoots left. Thompson is 40.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,011).
Home / Away
McMichael
Thompson
Home
42.6% (976)
44.9% (2,115)
Away
43.3% (904)
40.3% (2,043)
By Period
McMichael
Thompson
P1
43.3%
44.5%
P2
43.2%
43.6%
P3
41.9%
40.2%
OT
75.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
42.8%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Thompson
36.0%▼
39.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 2 | 11:35 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 15:55 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 3 | 09:46 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:36 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:04 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:09 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 04:48 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 11:11 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:30 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 03:17 | Defensive | Tage Thompson |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 02:46 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Apr 2, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Connor McMichael |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 07:09 | Offensive | Tage Thompson |
| Dec 11, 2021 | 2 | 03:42 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |