Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McMichael on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). McMichael wins 44.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 43.8% vs Gourde 46.0% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
McMichael leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Gourde 50.6%
Defensive zone
Gourde 64.1%
Neutral zone
Gourde 63.9%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 57.9%
42.1%
57.9%
McMichael
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
McMichael
Gourde
Last 10: McMichael 6-4 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
3
2
McMichael
Gourde
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
McMichael
Gourde
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
42.4% (399)
47.2% (654)
-4.8%
Power Play
49.1% (55)
45.0% (20)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
40.6% (96)
32.2% (87)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, McMichael has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. McMichael is 44.4% vs left-shot opponents (367).
McMichael shoots left. Gourde is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (501).
Home / Away
McMichael
Gourde
Home
43.0% (298)
44.1% (322)
Away
42.5% (252)
46.5% (439)
By Period
McMichael
Gourde
P1
46.5%
42.4%
P2
41.1%
49.8%
P3
41.3%
44.3%
Final 5 min
44.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.7%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 19:43 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 19:30 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 22, 2025 | 1 | 08:12 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 3 | 12:48 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 05:10 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 08:21 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 1 | 07:10 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 13:54 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 19:42 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 17:59 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |