Scouting Report
Yanni Gourde holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. McMichael wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McMichael 44.5% vs Gourde 49.5% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gourde 65.2%
Defensive zone
Gourde 82.4%
Neutral zone
Gourde 85.6%
Result
Yanni Gourde favored at 73.8%
26.2%
73.8%
McMichael
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McMichael
Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Gourde
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McMichael
1
0
McMichael
Gourde
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McMichael
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (339)
49.1% (731)
-6.0%
Power Play
50.0% (4)
54.3% (81)
-4.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
48.2% (85)
-48.2%
On penalty kill, Gourde has a +48.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. McMichael is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (223).
McMichael shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
McMichael
Gourde
Home
42.7% (178)
50.9% (479)
Away
43.1% (167)
47.8% (418)
By Period
McMichael
Gourde
P1
40.7%
51.2%
P2
50.0%
49.8%
P3
36.9%
47.5%
Final 5 min
43.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McMichael
34.0%▼
45.0%
42.9%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 08:00 | Offensive | Connor McMichael |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 05:40 | Defensive | Connor McMichael |