Connor Zary vs Frederick Gaudreau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 45.1% vs Gaudreau 44.1% (-1.3%)
Offensive zone
Zary 69.8%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 79.9%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 51.8%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Zary
Gaudreau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
43.0% (114)
46.0% (315)
-3.0%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
33.3% (12)
-1.7%
On even strength, Gaudreau has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Zary is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Zary shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.2% vs left-shot opponents (322).
Home / Away
Zary
Gaudreau
Home
43.5% (69)
42.9% (217)
Away
39.1% (64)
42.6% (195)
By Period
Zary
Gaudreau
P1
46.0%
44.2%
P2
40.0%
44.4%
P3
36.8%
39.4%
Final 5 min
48.3%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
46.0%▲
41.5%
41.4%
Gaudreau
42.0%▼
47.5%
42.7%