Connor Zary vs Frederick Gaudreau
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zary wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.1% vs Gaudreau 48.4% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 74.2%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 77.1%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 51.6%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Zary
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Zary
Gaudreau
Last 5: Zary 2-3 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zary
2
0
Zary
Gaudreau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
3
Zary
Gaudreau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (205)
49.2% (858)
-12.6%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
39.0% (41)
+2.7%
On even strength, Gaudreau has a +12.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Zary is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Zary shoots left. Gaudreau is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (819).
Home / Away
Zary
Gaudreau
Home
38.8% (152)
47.1% (546)
Away
34.8% (89)
49.4% (551)
By Period
Zary
Gaudreau
P1
33.3%
46.8%
P2
31.7%
46.8%
P3
47.5%
51.1%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
32.7%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
37.3%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:09 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:03 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 3 | 12:40 | Defensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 15:29 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Nov 23, 2024 | 1 | 04:00 | Offensive | Connor Zary |