Connor Zary vs Frederick Gaudreau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs Gaudreau 43.9% (+2.5%)
Offensive zone
Zary 74.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 80.3%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 55.6%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Zary
Gaudreau
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
45.0% (389)
+2.1%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
31.8% (22)
-0.2%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Zary is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Zary shoots left. Gaudreau is 42.9% vs left-shot opponents (427).
Home / Away
Zary
Gaudreau
Home
45.6% (79)
42.6% (277)
Away
44.7% (76)
42.9% (259)
By Period
Zary
Gaudreau
P1
48.3%
43.8%
P2
46.3%
44.8%
P3
39.5%
39.2%
Final 5 min
47.1%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
42.7%