Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zary wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.1% vs Compher 45.6% (-7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 70.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 71.3%
Neutral zone
Zary 53.3%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 52.4%
47.6%
52.4%
Zary
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Zary
Compher
Last 7: Zary 3-4 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zary
Compher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
2
Zary
Compher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Zary
Compher
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (205)
45.8% (847)
-9.2%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
40.8% (49)
+0.9%
On even strength, Compher has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Zary is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Zary shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Home / Away
Zary
Compher
Home
38.8% (152)
45.1% (519)
Away
34.8% (89)
45.1% (494)
By Period
Zary
Compher
P1
33.3%
45.8%
P2
31.7%
46.2%
P3
47.5%
43.2%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
32.7%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
37.3%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | Connor Zary |