Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zary wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs Compher 47.8% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 72.5%
Defensive zone
Compher 78.1%
Neutral zone
Compher 52.6%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Zary
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Zary
Compher
Last 8: Zary 4-4 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zary
Compher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
2
Zary
Compher
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zary
2
1
Zary
Compher
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
48.7% (5,716)
-6.9%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
52.6% (682)
-16.4%
On power play, Compher has a +16.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Zary is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Zary shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,626).
Home / Away
Zary
Compher
Home
41.3% (293)
49.1% (3,894)
Away
41.0% (212)
46.6% (3,925)
By Period
Zary
Compher
P1
40.4%
49.1%
P2
38.6%
47.3%
P3
45.2%
47.4%
OT
0.0%
40.2%
Final 5 min
34.6%
46.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2026 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:45 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 09:38 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 07:20 | Offensive | Connor Zary |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 04:14 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 04:09 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 01:56 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 2 | 01:37 | Neutral | Connor Zary |