Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zary wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs Eichel 48.1% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 53.3%
Defensive zone
Zary 54.9%
Neutral zone
Zary 55.2%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 54.2%
54.2%
45.8%
Zary
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Zary
Eichel
Last 6: Zary 2-4 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
3
Zary
Eichel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zary
Eichel
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zary
1
0
Zary
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
47.7% (858)
-0.6%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
55.6% (63)
-24.0%
On power play, Eichel has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Zary is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (74).
Zary shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Zary
Eichel
Home
45.6% (79)
47.7% (509)
Away
44.7% (76)
48.1% (499)
By Period
Zary
Eichel
P1
48.3%
49.5%
P2
46.3%
48.5%
P3
39.5%
46.8%
Final 5 min
47.1%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:16 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 02:22 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |