Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Zary wins 41.6% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 42.6% vs Eichel 45.1% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Eichel leads 7-3 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Zary 73.0%
Defensive zone
Zary 64.2%
Neutral zone
Zary 70.3%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 67.5%
67.5%
32.5%
Zary
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
7
(10 meetings)
3
7
Zary
Eichel
Last 10: Zary 3-7 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
3
Zary
Eichel
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
2
4
Zary
Eichel
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zary
1
0
Zary
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
41.8% (447)
44.7% (8,462)
-2.9%
Power Play
36.2% (58)
52.8% (925)
-16.6%
On power play, Eichel has a +16.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Zary is 41.6% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Zary shoots left. Eichel is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,018).
Home / Away
Zary
Eichel
Home
41.3% (293)
45.7% (4,899)
Away
41.0% (212)
44.5% (5,028)
By Period
Zary
Eichel
P1
40.4%
45.4%
P2
38.6%
45.8%
P3
45.2%
44.2%
OT
0.0%
44.2%
Final 5 min
34.6%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
41.2%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2025 | 3 | 16:16 | Neutral | Connor Zary |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 2 | 13:19 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 18, 2025 | 1 | 02:22 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 18:31 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 10:07 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 02:22 | Offensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |