Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Zary wins 37.0% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.1% vs Eichel 45.9% (-8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zary 75.9%
Defensive zone
Eichel 54.5%
Neutral zone
Zary 61.5%
Result
Jack Eichel favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Zary
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Zary
Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
3
Zary
Eichel
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (205)
45.9% (1,044)
-9.3%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
55.9% (59)
-14.2%
On power play, Eichel has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Zary is 37.0% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Zary shoots left. Eichel is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (913).
Home / Away
Zary
Eichel
Home
38.8% (152)
46.5% (606)
Away
34.8% (89)
44.8% (648)
By Period
Zary
Eichel
P1
33.3%
47.2%
P2
31.7%
46.9%
P3
47.5%
42.7%
OT
0.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
32.7%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
37.3%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 16:57 | Defensive | Connor Zary |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 2 | 09:35 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 29, 2024 | 1 | 16:04 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |