Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (37.3% vs 37.9%). Zary wins 37.6% vs left-shot opponents — DeBrusk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 41.1% vs DeBrusk 47.3% (-0.6%)
Offensive zone
Zary 65.4%
Defensive zone
DeBrusk 51.1%
Neutral zone
DeBrusk 53.3%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Zary
DeBrusk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
DeBrusk
Edge
Even Strength
36.6% (205)
47.4% (19)
-10.8%
Power Play
41.7% (36)
20.0% (10)
+21.7%
On power play, Zary has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
DeBrusk shoots left. Zary is 37.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Zary shoots left. DeBrusk is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Zary
DeBrusk
Home
38.8% (152)
55.6% (9)
Away
34.8% (89)
30.0% (20)
By Period
Zary
DeBrusk
P1
33.3%
38.5%
P2
31.7%
14.3%
P3
47.5%
55.6%
Final 5 min
32.7%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
37.3%
DeBrusk
44.0%▲
33.5%
37.9%