Scouting Report
Connor Zary holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Zary wins 45.0% vs left-shot opponents — DeBrusk shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zary 47.1% vs DeBrusk 48.1% (+3.8%)
Offensive zone
DeBrusk 52.2%
Defensive zone
Zary 58.5%
Neutral zone
Zary 53.2%
Result
Connor Zary favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Zary
DeBrusk
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zary
DeBrusk
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (136)
47.1% (17)
+0.0%
Power Play
31.6% (19)
50.0% (8)
-18.4%
On power play, DeBrusk has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
DeBrusk shoots left. Zary is 45.0% vs left-shot opponents (80).
Zary shoots left. DeBrusk is 40.0% vs left-shot opponents (15).
Home / Away
Zary
DeBrusk
Home
45.6% (79)
44.4% (9)
Away
44.7% (76)
40.0% (20)
By Period
Zary
DeBrusk
P1
48.3%
50.0%
P2
46.3%
40.0%
P3
39.5%
28.6%
Final 5 min
47.1%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zary
50.0%▲
46.0%
45.2%
DeBrusk
44.0%▲
33.5%
41.4%